Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.596091 3.853023 4.126349 4.439963 4.791363 5.174716 5.626954
2025-04-20 3.136231 3.492598 3.895266 4.388807 4.984263 5.688627 6.599055
2025-04-27 2.922059 3.344069 3.842059 4.483321 5.302980 6.338967 7.788302
2025-05-04 2.766296 3.233625 3.804284 4.569178 5.595428 6.969833 9.037480
2025-05-11 2.602986 3.092317 3.705823 4.554599 5.739116 7.404510 10.074797
2025-05-18 2.457288 2.958099 3.599830 4.511627 5.827963 7.760161 11.045607
2025-05-25 2.305378 2.803397 3.452336 4.393764 5.790048 7.912897 11.705938
2025-06-01 2.186175 2.683234 3.341040 4.314121 5.794920 8.124573 12.499504
2025-06-08 2.110291 2.615630 3.295507 4.322588 5.930189 8.558087 13.785969
2025-06-15 2.058900 2.577499 3.287079 4.382641 6.149153 9.159001 15.547561
2025-06-22 1.951507 2.456141 3.152913 4.241534 6.025902 9.137982 15.997216
2025-06-29 1.860274 2.353215 3.039755 4.124664 5.931452 9.155769 16.536997
2025-07-06 1.780438 2.265846 2.948909 4.043209 5.901238 9.312352 17.506134
2025-07-13 1.717317 2.200029 2.887076 4.004658 5.944037 9.622282 18.976517
2025-07-20 1.691145 2.185717 2.900472 4.087410 6.209969 10.424882 22.084591
2025-07-27 1.664686 2.169309 2.909109 4.162005 6.468592 11.263094 25.749492
2025-08-03 1.619231 2.122614 2.868277 4.149361 6.559282 11.745740 28.560588
2025-08-10 1.571264 2.070086 2.815521 4.112061 6.597115 12.112237 31.193161
2025-08-17 1.511778 1.998024 2.728723 4.009621 6.494397 12.120681 32.458998
2025-08-24 1.463119 1.940676 2.662879 3.940288 6.452925 12.277365 34.474296
2025-08-31 1.433782 1.911614 2.640871 3.947664 6.570985 12.868912 38.928108
2025-09-07 1.415371 1.898484 2.643745 3.999943 6.789735 13.781735 45.980337
2025-09-14 1.362673 1.830626 2.554495 3.877020 6.614948 13.555768 46.479789